By Oliver Kent • Mar 02, 2026
Traders wasted no time Monday morning. Gold and silver were climbing fast.
Safe-Haven Stampede
Gold (XAU/USD) ripped above $5,400, jumping more than 3% in early Monday trade as geopolitical tensions in Iran triggered an immediate flight to safety. Traders did not wait for confirmation.
Silver (XAG/USD) followed, climbing over 2% toward the mid-$90s. When fear spikes, precious metals often move in tandem, though silver typically swings harder.
Bullion thrives during uncertainty because it carries no credit risk and no earnings risk. In volatile moments, that simplicity is attractive.
Geopolitics Meets Momentum
The latest escalation in the Middle East injected fresh instability into already fragile global markets. Heightened conflict risk increases demand for defensive assets.
Gold already surged roughly 60% last year, fueled by central bank buying, strong ETF inflows, and expectations of easier monetary policy. This rally builds on that foundation.
Major banks have reiterated bullish targets, with some pointing toward $6,000 and beyond over the next 12 to 18 months if demand remains firm.
Jobs Data Ahead
Recent US producer price data released last week came in hotter than expected, raising concerns that inflation pressures may linger. Higher inflation can complicate rate-cut expectations.
Still, markets anticipate policy easing later this year. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
This week’s labor market reports, including payroll data, could shape the next leg. For now, geopolitics is steering the wheel.
← Back to Insights